One of the world’s leading eco-alarmists, Lester Brown, is clanging the fire bell again – this time warning that huge numbers of Third World “environmental refugees” are fleeing the impacts of over-population, over-grazing, over-logging and over-farming.
If that sounds a bit over-the-top, it is. After doing a critical analysis of the latest white paper issued by Brown’s Earth Policy Institute, one can only point out that the EPI is attributing panicked flight to immigrants, who, in reality, are merely seeking economic opportunity.
Brown and the EPI claim that bodies of fleeing African refugees routinely wash ashore on the Mediterranean beaches of Italy, France and Spain, and that a flow of environmental refugees is fleeing Haiti because “the land is denuded and the soil is washing to the sea.”
The reality is that the border-crossers are not so much ecological refugees as they are the more quick-footed citizens of failing societies. They are responding – predictably and urgently – to the message of hope, abundance, and freedom emitted by the successful societies of the First World.
Africans and Latin Americans today are suffering from the soil erosion associated with slash-and-burn farming, but they are suffering even more intensely from poverty, unemployment, government corruption, civil-war-by-machete and torturous repression from sadistic dictators.
They look across the borders at the First World and see people protected by laws and honest police; people who send their kids to schools and get jobs that pay for nice homes and TV sets.
I had neighbors who were driven from Colombia by arson and automatic weapons. They left behind the life savings they’d invested in a small, vulnerable trucking company. When they got to America, however, they both quickly got jobs – and enrolled their kids in the local community college.
Of course, environmental quality certainly is important, to both poor people and rich ones.
As it happens, however, the First World delivers not only the jobs but clean air, clean water, and well-protected wildlife preserves.
A World Bank study finds that water quality begins to improve when per capita incomes reach about $3,000; and much of the drive for eco-quality kicks in before incomes top $8,000. Markets for illegally trapped monkey brains or poached elephant tusks disappear as crop yields rise. In the Third World, all wildlife is at risk from the expansion of low-yield farming.
Opponents of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) contended the
treaty would send U.S. jobs to Mexico. Some have moved. But the alternative to creating good jobs and peaceful prosperity in Mexico is to gradually find much of Mexico moving to the United States. We’re simply too attractive to ignore, even if you love your homeland as do most Mexicans. We could put the army on the border, but without live ammunition and orders to shoot, Mexican immigrants will walk past the rifle barrels.
The Latinos coming across the U.S. border today have often traveled from Mexico’s job-hopeless southern regions, or from even more remote and authoritarian societies such as Honduras and Guatemala. NAFTA has helped create many Mexican jobs in the last decade, but not yet enough.
So long as the First world offers both the good jobs and the cleaner environment, people who have lost hope in their own countries will attempt to immigrate. It’s another reason to applaud “nation-building” in whatever ways work.
America should be liberating farm trade, so that tropical countries can sell us their low-cost sugar and buy our low-cost wheat. We need to encourage democracy, by example, by advice, and by assistance. It will be a long-term job, but al Queda’s success with the demoralized has demonstrated the necessity of this task.
To paraphrase Abraham Lincoln, the world cannot long remain half-slave and half-free. If despots and terrorists can claim half of it, they most certainly will try for the rest.
While the Earth has always endured natural climate change variability, we are now facing the possibility of irreversible climate change in the near future. The increase of greenhouse gases in the Earth?s atmosphere from industrial processes has enhanced the natural greenhouse effect. This in turn has accentuated the greenhouse ?trap? effect, causing greenhouse gases to form a blanket around the Earth, inhibiting the sun?s heat from leaving the outer atmosphere. This increase of greenhouse gases is causing an additional warming of the Earth?s surface and atmosphere. A direct consequence of this is sea-level rise expansion, which is primarily due to the thermal expansion of oceans (water expands when heated), inducing the melting of ice sheets as global surface temperature increases.
Forecasts for climate change by the 2,000 scientists on the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) project a rise in the global average surface temperature by 1.4 to 5.8°C from 1990 to 2100. This will result in a global mean sea level rise by an average of 5 mm per year over the next 100 years. Consequently, human-induced climate change will have ?deleterious effects? on ecosystems, socio-economic systems and human welfare.At the moment, especially high risks associated with the rise of the oceans are having a particular impact on the two archipelagic states of Western Polynesia: Tuvalu and Kiribati. According to UN forecasts, they may be completely inundated by the rising waters of the Pacific by 2050.According to the vast majority of scientific investigations, warming waters and the melting of polar and high-elevation ice worldwide will steadily raise sea levels. This will likely drive people off islands first by spoiling the fresh groundwater, which will kill most land plants and leave no potable water for humans and their livestock. Low-lying island states like Kiribati, Tuvalu, the Marshall Islands and the Maldives are the most prominent nations threatened in this way.“The biggest challenge is to preserve their nationality without a territory,” said Bogumil Terminski from Geneva. The best solution is continue to recognize deterritorialized states as a normal states in public international law. The case of Kiribati and other small island states is a particularly clear call to action for more secure countries to respond to the situations facing these ‘most vulnerable nations’, as climate change increasingly impacts upon their lives.