Why Is Earth’s Atmosphere Defying Global Warming?

Dennis Avery

Why isn’t the Earth’s atmosphere getting hot?

The biggest failure of the Global Warming Theory is found in the world’s most accurate temperature records – the microwave sensors on space satellites and high-altitude weather balloons.

The theory says that if humans emit more CO2 into the air, the extra greenhouse gas will trap more heat, and warm the lower atmosphere, below 30,000 feet. Heat radiated from this troposphere, in turn, will warm the Earth’s surface.

That isn’t happening.

The 30-year satellite record shows an upward trend of only 0.068 degrees Celsius per decade in the lower atmosphere. Over 100 years, the current warming trend would raise the troposphere’s temperature only 0.7 degrees C.

The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has been telling us global warming might heat the Earth’s surface as much as 5.8 degrees C in that time. In other words, they’re projecting eight times as much warming as our best thermometers are finding, in the lower atmosphere which their theory says must warm first!

The high-altitude balloons independently confirm the satellites’ very slow warming trend and indicate the failure of the global warming theory. Huge emissions of CO2 from the world’s cities seem unable to make an impact on the atmosphere.

The official thermometers show the Earth’s surface warming, erratically, by a total of about 0.1 degree C per decade since 1940. That’s a very modest rate of warming – but still faster than the warming found in the lower atmosphere! Have we gotten the Global Warming Theory backwards? Does the Earth warm its immediate atmosphere rather than the other way around?

The second biggest failure of the Global Warming Theory is at the North and South Poles. The Global Warming Theory also says the Earth will warm first at the poles. Yet both the Arctic and the Antarctic have been in cooling trends for at least three decades!

The University of Chicago’s Dr. Peter Doran says “Climate models generally predict amplified warming in Polar Regions . . . our spatial analysis of Antarctic meteorological data demonstrates a net cooling on the Antarctic continent between 1966 and 2000.”

The readings from 21 Antarctic surface stations since 1979 show a decline of 0.08 degrees C. The sea ice surrounding the Antarctic continent also confirms cooling, with more ice and a longer sea ice season since 1978.

In the Arctic, weather stations over the last 70 years recorded their highest temperatures in the 1930s. Even the 1950s were warmer than today. One of the broadest studies of recent Arctic temperatures was done by Dr. Rajmund Przyblak of the University of Poland. He concluded that “no tangible manifestations of the greenhouse effect [could] be identified.”

On Greenland, data from eight Danish meteorological stations show a land-based cooling of 1.29 degrees C since 1958. Three data bases on the adjoining sea surface temperatures show a cooling of between 0.44 and 0.8 degrees C in the same period.

Apparently, we can expect the Greenland ice sheet and the Antarctic glaciers to last a few years longer.

Can we say the same about a Global Warming Theory that:

1) has failed to account for the strong warming of the Earth’s surface that occurred before 1940, and thus before much human CO2 was emitted;

2) failed to account for the lack of strong earth-surface warming after 1940 despite our huge emissions of CO2;

3) claims the Earth’s surface will warm dramatically, driven by dramatic warming in the lower atmosphere that isn’t happening; and

4) says the warming already under way must be strongest in polar regions that have been cooling for decades.

Perhaps the Global Warming Theory needs to be updated to match reality?

About Alex Avery

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