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Tag: "Global"

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“EXTREME WEATHER”? NOT YET!, BY: DENNIS T. AVERY

The death toll from recent “extreme weather events” has been sharply declining since the 1920s, as my valued colleague Indur Goklany has valorously pointed out. Air conditioning, flood control, earthquake proofing and better weather forecasting have all helped. Despite vast media coverage, extreme weather now causes only a half-percent of global deaths. A large part of the gains came through crop production increases using fossil-fueled industrial fertilizers and irrigation pumps. This meant the world had fossil-fueled food to share with countries suddenly caught by devastating (but short- term) drought or flood.

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PAY ATTENTION TO SUNSPOT FORECASTS, BY: DENNIS T. AVERY

The sun is currently producing fewer sunspots than it has in more than a century. Florida State researchers tell us this may predict bad U.S. hurricane seasons. They say that when the sunspot numbers peak, within the (roughly) 11-year sunspot cycle, the U.S. has less than a 25 percent chance of being hit with a hurricane. The odds of a hurricane rise to 64 percent in the lowest-sunspot years. Even more important, the probability of three or more hurricanes hitting the U.S. in a season increases dramatically during low-sunspot periods.

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INDIA SETS UP INDEPENDENT GLOBAL WARMING PANEL, BY: DENNIS T. AVERY

CHURCHVILLE, VA—India is setting up its own climate research unit because it no longer trusts the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. I’ve been predicting such a move for years—partly due to the IPCC’s biased science, but more because India simply cannot afford to curtail its desperately needed and energy-powered economic growth. India’s government’s stability [...]

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USDA MISLEADS ON FARMING’S CLIMATE FUTURE, BY: DENNIS T. AVERY

CHURCHVILLE, VA—The U.S. Department of Agriculture has issued new report that attempts to forecast the impact of climate change on American farming in the next 50 years. USDA seems to expect serious climate-related farming problems ahead, but the recent changes in global climate have been tiny—and in the “wrong” direction! The earth’s temperatures are now [...]

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Will Nuclear and Biotech Save Us From Global Warming?

By:  Dennis T. Avery
 
Nuclear power and genetically engineered rice are set to help rescue the world from global warming. This isn’t really what anti-tech activists had in mind when they launched the campaign against fossil fuels, hoping to restrict our current lifestyles.
The British government has just announced that it will encourage a new generation of [...]

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Presentation to the National Turkey Federation: The Moral Challenge of the 21st Century

Presentation to the National Turkey Federation: The Moral Challenge of the 21st Century
Dennis Avery
. . . farms obliterate empty places, ploughed fields vanquish forests, herds drive out wild beasts. . . and there are such great cities where formerly hardly a hut . . . everywhere there is a dwelling, everywhere a multitude. . . [...]

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Who Will Produce the World’s Food (and Pork) in the Next Decade?

Presented at the Hyologisk 25th Anniversary Conference Braedstrup, Denmark
Alex Avery
February 4, 2004
A dozen years ago, I retired from the U.S. State Department-and began a mission to convince First World farmers they had more to gain from free farm trade than they did from continued heavy government subsidies.
The Bullish Demand Forecast for Farm Products and Pork
My [...]

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Agribusiness in a Changing Global Environment

Alex A. Avery
You have heard today of the tremendous opportunity emerging in Asia due to the combination of population growth and rising living standards. Despite the recent Asian economic crisis, the unprecedented economic growth in Asia over the last decade represents the largest increase in per capita income for the largest population in human history. [...]