CHURCHVILLE, VA—The airwaves are full of the “secret” codes and emails from Britain’s Hadley climate research center. New Zealand is looking at the upward trend in the “official” graph of its recent temperatures—while the country’s raw temperature data show no warming. Now researchers are digging into the Hadley data to find if the rest of the world’s climate data have been similarly “adjusted.”    

 

But Der Speigel, the German news magazine, tried to blow the whistle on this climate fraud more than two years ago. In May of 2007, it published a story titled, “Not the End of the World As We Know It.”  The story pointed out that Svente Arrhenius, the Swedish chemist who first posited the Greenhouse, had seen global warming as a good thing, with “better climates” potentially making poor harvests and famine a thing of the past.

 

Der Spiegel noted how previous cold periods—including the Little Ice Age that began in 1300—were too cold for grain to mature properly. In Germany, thousands of mountain villages and huge tracts of farmland were abandoned due to the cold.

 

“When global temperatures plunged unexpectedly again in the 1960s, many meteorologists were quick to warn people about the coming of a new ice age—supposedly triggered by man-made air pollution. Hardly anyone at the time believed that a warming period could pose a threat.”

 

“It was not until the rise of the environmental movement in the 1980s that everything suddenly changed,” said the Speigel article. “From then on it was almost a foregone conclusion that global warming could only be perceived as a disaster for the earth’s climate. . .”

 

The wildlife going extinct? Speigel said, “Additionally, some environmentalists doubt that the large-scale extinction of animals and plants some have predicted will in fact come about. ‘A warmer climate helps promote species diversity,’ says Munich zoologist Josef Reichholf.’” 

 

“According to another persistent greenhouse legend, massive flooding will strike major coastal cities, raising horrific scenarios of New York, London and Shanghai sinking into the tide . . . but it quickly became apparent that the horrific talk of a melting South Pole was nothing but fiction. The average temperature in the Antarctic is -30 degrees Celsius. Humanity cannot possibly burn enough oil and coal to melt this giant block of ice. On the contrary, current climate models suggest that the Antarctic will even increase in mass: Global warming will cause more water to evaporate, and part of the moisture will fall as snow over Antarctic, causing the ice shield to grow.” 

 

Der Speigel even had a follow-up interview the next day with biologist Reichholf, who pointed out that “biodiversity reached its peak at the end of the tertiary age, a few million years ago, when it was much warmer than it is today. The development went in a completely different direction when the ice ages came and temperatures dropped, causing a massive extinction of species, especially in the north.”

 

Two years ago, Germany was apparently not ready to accept Der Speigel’s answer to the “global warming problem.” None of the world’s other major media quoted the article, or picked up the theme. Today, only Fox News, among the world’s major media, has dared to look at the Hadley Center information as a real news story. Must we wait for the huge new energy taxes to be imposed by the Congress before we take the evidence of climate fraud seriously?

 

 

DENNIS T. AVERY is an environmental economist, and a senior fellow for the Hudson Institute in Washington, DC.  He was formerly a senior analyst for the Department of State. He is co-author, with S. Fred Singer, of Unstoppable Global Warming Every 1500 Hundred Years, Readers may write him at PO Box 202, Churchville, VA 24421 or email to cgfi@hughes.net

CHURCHVILLE, VA—Copenhagen has predictably brought out a new round of claims that humanity is frying the planet. Mother Nature, however, has told us to expect only about 0.5 degree of further warming over the next several centuries. Which is right, Mother Nature or the computerized global climate models championed by Al Gore?

 

Apparently, we got a revealing glimpse of truth when a hacker last week published files taken from Britain’s Hadley Climate Research Unit—ground zero for the warming alarmists. The hacker, who published on an anonymous Russian site, said: “We feel that climate science is, in the current situation, too important to be kept under wraps.” Hadley has confirmed the hack-in.

 

One of the alleged emails has Kevin Trenberth of the U.S. National Center on Climate Research, saying to his fellow believers in man-made warming:

 

“…where the heck is global warming? We are asking that here in Boulder [on October 12, 2009] where we have broken records the past two days for the coldest day on record. We have 4 inches of snow. The high the past two days was below 30F and the normal is 69F, and it smashed the previous records for these days by 10F. The low was about 18F and also a record low, well below the previous record.

 

“The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming, and it is a travesty that we can’t. The [government satellite radiation data] shows there should be even more warming: but the data are surely wrong. . . .”

 

Trenberth is saying the data he’s getting can’t be right because they don’t confirm his theory that the Modern Warming is mostly man-made. But there’s an old saying in science: “If your data don’t confirm your theory, get a new theory.” 

 

We’ve never observed the “runaway warming” predicted by the computerized climate models. The warming from 1976–1998 was not significantly stronger or longer than the warming from 1915–1940—which was too early to be caused by human-emitted CO₂. Both were followed by coolings, not CO2 runaways. 

 

My book, Unstoppable Global Warming Every 1500 Years, offers quite a different theory on our global warming—and cites hundreds of peer-reviewed studies documenting a long, moderate, solar-driven climate cycle that goes back a million years. The evidence: oxygen isotopes in ice cores; microfossils in seabed sediments;  fossil pollen; and even the summer skies in old museum paintings, which shifted from sunny in the Medieval Warming to cloudy during the Little Ice Age and then back again after 1850. That longer cycle gave us the Medieval and Roman warmings and the recent Little Ice Age. 

 

We see the current global cooling as triggered by our largest heat sink, the Pacific Ocean, which has a 60-year cycle superimposed on the longer 1,500-year cycle.  The Pacific cooling will frost Dr. Trenberth’s tootsies until about 2038.

 

The 1500-year Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles deliver about half their total warming in their first few decades, which seems to have been the 0.5 warming from 1850-1940.  Then it will get a bit warmer, erratically, probably totaling half a degree Celsius over the next several centuries—until the next “little ice age” or Big One.   

 

Despite the UN’s claims, we’ve never found a “human fingerprint” on the Modern Warming.  The computer models all predict man-made warming will produce a strong warming 5 kilometers over the equator—but we’ve had a slight cooling there instead. Another reason for a re-think, Dr. Trenberth? 

 

Since the warming is unstoppable, we must anyway leave Al Gore with his unsold carbon offsets and adapt to Mother Nature.

 

DENNIS T. AVERY is an environmental economist, and a senior fellow for the Hudson Institute in Washington, DC. He was formerly a senior analyst for the Department of State. He is co-author, with S. Fred Singer, of Unstoppable Global Warming Every 1500 Hundred Years, Readers may write him at PO Box 202, Churchville, VA 24421 or email to cgfi@hughes.net